At risk of rehashing what is in this very short paper (open access pdf here), a few colleagues and I have a simple idea for how to encourage natural history in current ecology and evolution. A whole bunch of notable folks, including Harry Greene, Josh Tewksbury, Paul Dayton and more have noted the decline in traditional natural history - the taking of observations, collecting specimens, and classes in zoology and botany - among academics over the last half decade or so. Their papers all deserve a read as they point out very real problems and quantify these declines.
Though these papers draw attention to the issue and make a very convincing case that it is an issue, they don't offer realistic solutions. I'll not overstate our case; our small idea won't bring back botany classes where they once were taught or inspire people to create an insect collection at a college without one. However, we have an idea that may incentivize natural history study, at least a small bit. We propose that ecologists and evolutionary biologists create a natural history supplement with their paper to highlight potentially interesting observations and important natural history data.
We think that there are a few reasons why this small addition would be particularly important and useful. First and most obviously, these observations WILL be useful to someone down the line, somewhere, sometime. Even if it takes 50 years for someone to investigate a particular plant or insect, these observations of behavior, population size, flowering time, etc. in 2016 are an invaluable snapshot of what you saw when. Richard Primack and co.'s wonderful reanalysis of flowering time data which Thoreau gathered in the 1800's are a perfect example of this type of use. Secondly, meta-analyses and comparative studies are commonplace and particularly informative and could use those life history data included in these supplement that wouldn't make it into a paper on another aspect, but are likely data that many folks take instinctively.
Since we have the internet, archiving these sorts of things has never been easier. Many papers have a great deal of supplementary information (especially in short-form journals) and publishers have ways to archive it. While it doesn't need to be done immediately, if this practice is adopted, a database of these natural history supplements could be compiled at any time.
If those sound like good or bad arguments, read the full paper (again, here), there is a good bit more in it. I'll conclude by saying that I've written two of these, both for papers in Ecology (here and here) and they have been easy and enjoyable to write. Has anyone actually read them? I'm not sure (do tell if you have!). Maybe not, but that doesn't seem particularly troubling to me - even if one person reads them and gets inspiration for a study or uses some data in an analysis decades after I'm gone, I'll be happy. Plus, they were more fun to write than the main text of these papers. I focused both of these by describing briefly a great deal of natural history, hoping that someone studying one of these systems (especially the well-known ones, like Mimulus or Petunia or Nicotiana) would think about insect- or sand-entrapment.
On another level completely, I'm sure Ecology wouldn't have let me use the fantastic quote “[Pholisma feels like] a squishy gummy bear covered in fuzzy sand covered hairs” in the main article :) .
Saturday, July 2, 2016
Thursday, May 5, 2016
Variation in phenotype (mutants!)
Obviously, variation in traits is present in all populations and all species, but its quite easy to forget that - a mallard looks like a mallard, right? Evolution acts upon this variation, be it timing of flowering, anti-predator behavior or body size, constantly. I find variation in "characteristic" traits very interesting (and by "characteristic", I mean how a naturalist would recognize a species, for instance in plants this might be color, growth form, leaf shape, etc.). I've been noting these for quite awhile and keeping a photo log - mostly of flower color, which is especially interesting to me - here's a selection.
This isn't meant as a real ecology post, just an appreciation for the natural world, but do bear in mind the little tidbits of science thrown in - they'll only make it more interesting. As Huxley famously said, "To the person uninstructed in natural history, his country or sea-side stroll is a walk through a gallery filled with wonderful works of art, nine-tenths of which have their faces turned to the wall."
I'll mostly put a "normal" picture first and then the mutant. Here's a normal Mimulus guttatus, the common yellow monkeyflower - a widespread, common and lovely species.
A normal Tritelia laxa.
And a white one:
A normal blue-eyed "grass" (really an iris), Sisyrinchium bellum:
and a white one:
Normal Mimulus nudatus, a cool serpentine endemic in the northern coast range.
And a weird beige morph:
And both normal and white morphs of Collinsia sparsiflora:
Normal and white morphs of Mimulus layneae. Interestingly, the two white individuals in this population had flatter flowers as well.
Why are white flowers so common in plants? Purple or reddish colors are caused by a group of chemicals called anthocyanins. These are synthesized in a pretty complex pathway that involves a bunch of steps, all mediated by proteins. If a mutation (or developmental issue), interrupts the function of any of these steps, you get a loss of function, which in this case becomes a white flower.
In some species, there is simply a polymorphism - its not rare to have differently-colored flowers (or -colored seed, or -shaped fruit, etc.). This Leptosiphon sp. has both pink and white flowers in roughly equal proportions in a population I looked at.
Of course, color polymorphisms aren't restricted to flowers, or even plants. A cool hypothesis to explain the existance of color polymorphisms in many species of raptors is that it is harder for prey to figure out what is a predator if they all look different. To the best of my knowledge, that hypothesis is still up for debate, but its clever and seems logical. Here is a pair of Variable Hawks, Buteo polyosoma:
This isn't meant as a real ecology post, just an appreciation for the natural world, but do bear in mind the little tidbits of science thrown in - they'll only make it more interesting. As Huxley famously said, "To the person uninstructed in natural history, his country or sea-side stroll is a walk through a gallery filled with wonderful works of art, nine-tenths of which have their faces turned to the wall."
I'll mostly put a "normal" picture first and then the mutant. Here's a normal Mimulus guttatus, the common yellow monkeyflower - a widespread, common and lovely species.
| McLaughlin Reserve, Lake County, CA. |
And a weird red mutant:
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| McLaughlin Reserve, Lake County, CA |
|
| Berryessa-Knoxville Rd., Napa County, CA |
| McLaughlin Reserve, Lake County, CA |
and a white one:
| McLaughlin Reserve, Lake County, CA |
|
|
| McLaughlin Reserve, Napa County, CA |
| McLaughlin Reserve, Lake County, CA |
In some species, there is simply a polymorphism - its not rare to have differently-colored flowers (or -colored seed, or -shaped fruit, etc.). This Leptosiphon sp. has both pink and white flowers in roughly equal proportions in a population I looked at.
| McLaughlin Reserve, Lake County, CA |
Like Leptosiphon, many other members of the Polemoniaceae have white/colored polymorphisms within populations. Navarretia mellita (often a sandy plant!), is one:
| McLaughlin Reserve, Lake County, CA |
| McLaughlin Reserve, Lake County, CA |
Of course, color polymorphisms aren't restricted to flowers, or even plants. A cool hypothesis to explain the existance of color polymorphisms in many species of raptors is that it is harder for prey to figure out what is a predator if they all look different. To the best of my knowledge, that hypothesis is still up for debate, but its clever and seems logical. Here is a pair of Variable Hawks, Buteo polyosoma:
| Bosque del Pomac, Lambayeque, Peru |
And another morph, of the same species!
| A juvenile, I think. Bosque del Pomac, Lambayeque, Peru |
I don't know any hypotheses for the maintenance of color polymorphisms in caterpillars, but some have them. Hyles lineata feeding on Abronia villosa:
| San Diego Co., CA |
| San Diego Co., CA |
Monday, April 25, 2016
Sandy plants: a paper, an update, some wacky plant photos.
A little while back, I published a paper that Rick and I had been working on for awhile. In short, there are quite a number of plants which entrap substrate - sand, dirt, etc. - on their surfaces with sticky trichomes. These species occur worldwide in dunes, beaches and deserts. Quite a number of people, dating back to the late 1800's, had hypothesized that this "sand armor" must protect the plant, but nobody had actually gone out and tested it. So we tested both the hypothesis that it is physically defensive (who wants to chew on sand?) and that it is a form of camouflage (since of course, it makes the plant look like the background).
We found support for the physical defense hypothesis (in two tests) and did not find any evidence that the camouflage protects the plant. You can read (Inkfish - one of the best science blogs) or hear (Quirks and Quarks) more about this project.
The best part of publishing this was hearing from a prominent researcher (who had noticed this phenomenon), that he tells his students: "if you don't believe that sand is defensive for the plant - try sandpaper instead of toilet paper!" Since publishing this, I've been able to continue this research and observe quite a few more cool sandy plants - some of which were new to me and some of which I had only heard of.
Pholisma was, since I learned about it last year, the top of my list of must-see plants and seeing it was one of my spring highlights so far. I happened upon it accidentally while looking at another sand-entrapping plant, Abronia umbellata (I used Abronia latifolia in my experiments).
The central coast of California has three species of Abronia which grow in close proximity on coastal dunes. Abronia maritima is generally on the beach while latifolia and umbellata are a little farther up (and occasionally grow over each other). They each catch sand to some extent.
While Hyles likes to eat Abronia (I've found them on pogonantha, latifolia, umbellata and villosa this year), they not like to eat sand at all. While it doesn't have a good mechanism for taking it off, it seems to concentrate on nonsandy plants first and then on nonsandy parts of the plant, but it always ends up eating the sandy parts of the plant eventually.
Unsurprisingly as they don't like it, sand on plants is damaging to them. A normal Hyles mandible at pupation looks like this:
But if they eat sandy plants, they get pretty rough:
That's it for today: a description of a study, some weird sandy plants, and a teaser of a future paper...
| Abronia pogonantha, one of the sandiest plants I've seen. Photo: EL. |
We found support for the physical defense hypothesis (in two tests) and did not find any evidence that the camouflage protects the plant. You can read (Inkfish - one of the best science blogs) or hear (Quirks and Quarks) more about this project.
The best part of publishing this was hearing from a prominent researcher (who had noticed this phenomenon), that he tells his students: "if you don't believe that sand is defensive for the plant - try sandpaper instead of toilet paper!" Since publishing this, I've been able to continue this research and observe quite a few more cool sandy plants - some of which were new to me and some of which I had only heard of.
| LOOK AT ALL THAT SAND! (I am pretty sure those purple things are flower buds - I didn't unfortunately get to see a flowering individual). |
| Abronia umbellata is not as sandy as some congeners, but it is pinker than most! (there is also a really, really, cool paper on floral evolution in this species - check it out). Photo: EL. |
| Abronia latifolia, the common sand verbena for most of the California coast. Common doesn't mean boring though, its quite awesome. Photo: EL |
| It catches a lot of sand on its stems, but... (photo: EL) |
| This Abronia villosa is not as happy as I am about this big (3"+) final-instar caterpillar. Photo: EL. |
| A green-morph H. lineata on pogonantha. They come in lots of colors - black, green, yellow and all manner of in-betweens. They all seem to turn into identical moths. Photo: EL |
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| An SEM micrograph of the right mandible of a Hyles lineata fed on nonsandy Abronia latifolia. Those "teeth" are for grinding up the plant before it enters the body. Photo: EL |
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| Look at the "teeth" - or lack thereof - on this right mandible, from a caterpillar feeding on sandy A. latifolia. Photo: EL |
That's it for today: a description of a study, some weird sandy plants, and a teaser of a future paper...
The woolly bear presidential election outlook, 2016
In the age of cell phones, accurate polling of the
electorate has become difficult. In a world where a disproportionate percentage
of people answering landlines for pollsters is white and over 50, we
desperately need a new method of predicting elections. As the 2016 presidential
election looms, a crack team of UC Davis innovators has a promising new source
of information, woolly bear caterpillars (Platyprepia
virginalis).
![]() |
| A woolly bear contemplates the madness of the 2016 election cycle while resting on its preferred host plant, a coastal lupine. Photo: Eric LoPresti |
Rick Karban, a UC Davis professor of entomology, has tracked
woolly bear caterpillar abundance since the early 1980’s at Bodega Bay,
California. Each March, Karban censuses the same patches of lupine that he has
for over 30 years. The study asks a vexing question: Why are there are so many
caterpillars in some years and so few in others? Many insects, including pests cycle like this, therefore it is of keen interest to many. Dozens of papers later,
Karban, his students, and his collaborators have answered a great many
questions, including how caterpillars deal with parasites, whether population
cycles are influenced by rain, whether caterpillars enjoy eating plant hairs,
and how caterpillars avoid their predators.
The population highs and lows seem random at a first pass, a
jagged line moving up and down each year.
![]() |
| The collected data, 1983-2015, full data available here. |
What separates high years from low years? These motivated
researchers have found a striking pattern in this data. This data set includes
eight presidential election years, with four Democrat and four Republican victories.
Plotted with colors corresponding to the party association of the winner, the
pattern becomes obvious.
![]() |
| Red corresponds to Republican presidential victories and blue to Democrats. To reiterate: this is actual data! |
Woolly bears have years of high abundance when Democrats win
and low when Republicans win. The average woolly bear abundance was 0.21 (+
0.07 se) woolly bears per lupine in Republican years and 1.96 (+0.27 se)
in Democratic years. This data shows
that woolly bear abundance in March is a good predictor of presidential
victories in the general election.
It is tempting to assume that woolly bears are Democrats (and
were particularly thrilled by second-term Bill Clinton), but we cannot exclude
the possibility that their abundance is a protest gesture.
Note that 2016 is not included on the preceding two graphs.
For about a year, news sources have made predictions about the primary race and
have even speculated about the general election. Given their wildly erroneous predictions
thus far for both primaries, trusting their predictions for the general
election seems ill-advised. The woolly bears, on the other hand, have a 100% accurate
prediction record over the past 30 years. In years of low abundance, a Republican
is elected, and in years of high abundance, a Democrat.
Therefore, we are pleased to announce the woolly bears’
prediction. In mid-March of this year, Karban censused the woolly bears for
their opinion on this volatile election year where no subject seems out of bounds
and the populist wings of each party have come out like no election in recent
memory. Even the woolly bears seem hesitant this year.
![]() |
| Full data, including this year's census (conducted in March). |
A superficial examination suggests that 2016 will be a Republican
year – woolly bear abundance is not particularly high. However, looking a little
closer, it may not be. The number of woolly bears per lupine bush in 2016 (0.53)
is higher than the average Republican year by 152% and is 36% above the highest
Republican year ever recorded (1988). However, it is only 27% of an average Democratic
year and still only 36% of the lowest Democratic year (2008). This result is
without presidential precedent in the last 30 years.
We suspect that the Republicans have the edge. However, a
valid hypothesis would be a third-party winner, such as a right-leaning
independent (a logical placeholder in between Democrats and Republicans).
Perhaps Donald Trump will take particular interest in our data. Alternately, a
contested Republican convention could produce a fractured party and the old Republican
woolly bear average would not accurately represent the mean caterpillar
abundances seen by this new party.
The mainstream media have been shockingly inaccurate in
their predictions so far, even despite complex and supposedly accurate statistical models. We need a new strategy to predict key events such as
the 2016 presidential election. Rather than trust the opinion of a few people
with a pulpit, the historically robust predictions of this population of
caterpillars may serve as a better guide.
![]() |
| A congregation of woolly bears meets on a lupine flower spike, presumably to discuss politics. Photo: Eric LoPresti |
(This research has been in progress and was presented at ESA 2014)
This post was written by Eric LoPresti, Mikaela Huntzinger, Patrick Grof-Tisza, Ian Pearse, and, of course, Rick Karban (who we suspect is not fooling these infallible caterpillars with his Bernie Sanders impersonation).
![]() |
| Rick Karban/Bernie Sanders. Who is who? Photo on left stolen from Berniesanders.com, right: Mikaela Huntzinger. |
Monday, April 11, 2016
Data I'll never publish: Antirrhinum herbivory
Inspired by this post, I'm going to try to put the results of small (but interesting) experiments up here every once and awhile. In the summer of 2014, I spent a lot of time washing plants. I was - and still am - curious of the function(s) of plant exudates. I primarily did this with Trichostema laxum and Atriplex rosea (in 2013), but I also did it with Mimulus layneae and Antirrhinum cornutum (California snapdragon). The snapdragon gave me interesting results.
(this post should also be regarded as potential project for someone else: I started it in May - there is plenty of time to get up to McLaughlin and do it again this year).
This snapdragon, while not as heavily glandular as Trichostema or that Mimulus, is fairly glandular-sticky, even entrapping a small number of minute insects (see the table/supplementary material). Under the microscope, you can see the fairly dense short glandular trichomes (the longer trichomes are mostly nonglandular) on the stalk and flower bud.
Wondering whether the glandular exudate is defensive, I did an experiment where I removed it with water. Most glandular exudates in CA summer annuals seem water soluble, so a spray bottle rainfall takes off much of the exudate (observationally verified in situ with a 20x loupe - plus whatever was in this exudate made suds on the plant!). This manipulation was my first treatment group. Of course, adding water to a plant has an effect of its own, so I also had a water control group, where I added the same amount of water below the plant's leaves, as to not wash off any exudates. Finally, I had a true control group, which received no water whatsoever. I instituted these treatments on the 30th of May and reapplied them on the 17th of June. Each time, I recorded the number of leaves, flowers, fruit, and plant height, as well as any damage. I also checked the plants, but did not reapply treatments on the 2nd and 19th of July (the last check all were senescent).
During the experiment, plants suffered two main forms of herbivory. The first type, which was most common and most destructive, was that the stems were entirely clipped off. I'm nearly positive this was by jackrabbits (indicated by a single flat cut diagonally across the stem) and it usually killed the plant. The photos below shows what remained.
The mammalian herbivory was not random. Of the 25 plants per treatment, 11 in the control group, 13 in the rainfall simulation (exudate removal) and a whopping 20 in the water control group were eaten by mammals (this is nonlethal, lethally was 10, 12, 18). With a simple chi-squared test, we can demonstrate that this was likely nonrandom (X2 = 7.3688, df =2, p = 0.025) (for lethal, X2 = 5.5714, df=2, p = 0.062). Why were the mammals targetting the water control plants so heavily?
Were they bigger and thus easier to find or just more profitable to eat? They were not significantly different in height, fruit or flower numbers from the other two groups during any check. I don't have data on plant quality (perhaps the less water-limited plants were more nutritious or something?).
The other type of damage was equally-interesting. Heliothis phloxiphaga is a generalist caterpillar on glandular plants. It was the primary herbivore on my columbines, as well as a common herbivore on Trichostema laxum and other sticky plants. Like most heliothiine noctuids, it feeds primarily (but not exclusively) on reproductive structures. I only observed it once on Antirrhinum (eating a fruit), but all the fruit damage I found was consistent with it (and that's one more time than I saw a jackrabbit eat it!).
I had hypothesized, that if the exudate were defensive, the washed plants would be most heavily eaten. This hypothesis was supported with the fruit damage. Rainfall plants received far more damage than the other groups. (note: I didn't actually analyze this with zero-inflated binomial, as it should be. There is a problem, in that only 7/25 of the water control plants had any fruit at all because of the rabbits.)
What does this all mean? Obviously, it means that mammalian and insect herbivores are responding to different plant traits. What they are exactly, I'm not sure (especially for mammals). If anyone (nudge, nudge, wink, wink) were to repeat this experiment, with a larger sample size, and maybe some other mechanistic experiments (perhaps cage controls and lots more trait data to see what is different in the water control and rainfall manip groups), I think its a pretty good system that someone could get a paper - if not a few - out of.
(this post should also be regarded as potential project for someone else: I started it in May - there is plenty of time to get up to McLaughlin and do it again this year).
| One of the experimental A. cornutum, showing leaf damage. |
![]() |
| Stem of A cornutum with an entrapped insect. |
![]() |
| Flower bud showing short glandular and long nonglandular trichomes. |
During the experiment, plants suffered two main forms of herbivory. The first type, which was most common and most destructive, was that the stems were entirely clipped off. I'm nearly positive this was by jackrabbits (indicated by a single flat cut diagonally across the stem) and it usually killed the plant. The photos below shows what remained.
| A survivor of mammalian herbivory. If the meristem was not completely destroyed, they often came back and branched like this. Like the classic overcompensation "herbivore-plant mutualisms", the resulting plants were often bigger than the others, with more reproductive structures, but unlike this "mutualism", it was too late in the season and they had low fitness, as they could not mature these structures. |
Were they bigger and thus easier to find or just more profitable to eat? They were not significantly different in height, fruit or flower numbers from the other two groups during any check. I don't have data on plant quality (perhaps the less water-limited plants were more nutritious or something?).
The other type of damage was equally-interesting. Heliothis phloxiphaga is a generalist caterpillar on glandular plants. It was the primary herbivore on my columbines, as well as a common herbivore on Trichostema laxum and other sticky plants. Like most heliothiine noctuids, it feeds primarily (but not exclusively) on reproductive structures. I only observed it once on Antirrhinum (eating a fruit), but all the fruit damage I found was consistent with it (and that's one more time than I saw a jackrabbit eat it!).
| The other type of damage: caterpillar fruit predation. |
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| A crumby excel graph of proportion fruits damaged. |
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